Archive for the ‘Commodities & Future’ Category

Binary Oil Trading Commodities and Future Option

Sunday, December 6th, 2009

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Stock index futures signal gains; BoA eyed

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

Stock index futures signal gains; BoA eyed

U.S. stock index futures pointed to a higher open on Wall Street on Thursday, with futures for the S&P 500 up 0.62 percent, Dow Jones futures up 0.47 percent and Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.52 percent at 0900 GMT (4 a.m. EST).

Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) will be in the spotlight after saying it would repay $45 billion of taxpayer bailout funds, a move that could free the top U.S. lender from pay curbs as it looks to hire a new CEO but also makes it more vulnerable to further economic shocks.

Shares of Bank of America traded in Frankfurt (BAC.F) were up 3 percent.

The auto sector will be in focus after news that France’s PSA Peugeot Citroen (PEUP.PA) could buy a large stake in Japan’s Mitsubishi Motors Corp (7211.T) as part of plan to deepen ties to ride out the auto industry’s worst-ever slump, sending Japanese and European auto stocks surging.

Japan’s Nikkei average climbed nearly 4 percent on Thursday to hit its highest close in five weeks as exporters such as Canon Inc (7751.T) jumped on a weaker yen, while European stocks were up 0.8 percent in morning trade, led by banks and auto stocks.

Gold hit a record high of $1,226.10 on persistent dollar weakness, receding fears over debt problems in Dubai and ongoing expectations that central banks will continue to buy the precious metal, while U.S. crude futures climbed after slipping 2.3 percent a day earlier on a larger-than-expected build in U.S. crude inventories.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) is meeting with major investors in an effort to head off a possible investor backlash over its record bonuses, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Comcast Corp (CMCSA.O) and General Electric Co (GE.N) are preparing to announce a deal on Thursday that would give Comcast control of NBC Universal, turning the U.S. cable giant into one of the largest and most prolific suppliers of TV shows and movies.

On the macro front, investors were bracing for data on productivity, weekly jobless claims and ISM non-manufacturing index, while the bulk of major retail chains report November same-store sales. Early data on Thanksgiving weekend shopping from Thursday through Sunday showed only a slight increase in sales, pressuring retailer shares.

Workers at U.S. motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson’s (HOG.N) York, Pennsylvania plant have agreed to a near 50 percent cut in jobs and more flexible working practices in exchange for the company’s commitment to invest $90 million in the plant, the Wall Street Journal said.

A group led by former Ford Motor Co (F.N) executives has submitted a revised bid this week for Ford’s Volvo unit and hopes to beat the offer by Chinese carmaker Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, the Wall Street Journal reported citing people familiar with the situation.

The Nasdaq rose on Wednesday as strong online holiday sales boosted shares of retailers, including Amazon.com (AMZN.O), and relieved some concerns about the consumer. The Dow edged lower as falling oil prices prompted investors to sell energy shares, while the Standard & Poor’s index finished flat.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI declined 18.90 points, or 0.18 percent, to end at 10,452.68. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index .SPX inched up just 0.38 of a point, or 0.03 percent, to finish at 1,109.24. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC gained 9.22 points, or 0.42 percent, to close at 2,185.03.

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Strategy counts on Forest Oil to move-12/02/2009

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

Strategy counts on Forest Oil to move-12/02/2009

Forest Oil Trading made a big move yesterday, and one investor is positioning for the volatility to continue.

optionMONSTER’s tracking programs detected buying of the December 20 puts for $1.01 and the December 20 puts for $1.24. The so-called straddle trade comprised 1,500 contracts and cost about $2.25.

FST ChartFST gapped higher yesterday, climbing 10 percent to $20.15. The debt-laden energy company surged after agreeing to sell some of its properties to SandRidge Energy for $800 million, which will help it pay down liabilities.

Even with the move, the stock has moved largely sideways for the last six months, compared with an 18 percent gain for the S&P 500. Yesterday’s straddle buyers are speculating FST will move keep moving through expiration. The stock needs to fall below about $17.75 or rally above $22.25 for the trade to make money. (See our Education section)

Some of yesterday’s sharp move may have resulted from forced buying because short interest represented 14 percent of FST’s float on Oct. 30.

Investors also purchased an additional 1,000 December 20 puts independent of the straddle position, which reflects a bearish posture toward the stock.

Overall options volume in FST was more than four times greater than average.


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